ABIO10 PGTW 021800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
OCEAN/021800Z-031800ZJAN2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/021352ZJAN2026//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/021351ZJAN2026//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 02JAN26 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (GRANT) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 15.2S 66.6E, APPROXIMATELY 597 NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, AND
HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 021500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) AT 02JAN26 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (IGGY) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 16.7S 108.9E, APPROXIMATELY 446 NM NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH,
AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS
GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 021500) FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.
(3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 10.0S
88.3E, APPROXIMATELY 524 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS.
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS STEADILY BUILDING
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A COMPACT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. A 021504Z
METOP-B SCATTEROMETRY IMAGE VERIFIES THAT A DEVELOPING CIRCULATION
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SOUTHERN MONSOON TROF IS CONSOLIDATING, AND
DEEPENING CONVECTION AROUND THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C), AND
GOOD POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY BUT
RESTRICTED OUTFLOW ON THE EASTERN SIDE. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND
ENSEMBLE MODELS SHOW GOOD AGREEMENT ON STEADY CONSOLIDATION OVER THE
FOLLOWING COUPLE OF DAYS WITH ALL MODELS SHOWING DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS
IS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
IDW24400
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.
PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1
Issued at 3:43 pm WST on Saturday 3 January 2026
Headline:
Tropical Low 11U may impact Cocos (Keeling) Islands as it passes close by on
Monday.
Areas Affected:
Warning zone: None.
Watch zone: Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
Cancelled zone: None.
Details of Tropical Low 11U at 12:30 pm CCT:
Intensity: Tropical Low, sustained winds near the centre of 45 kilometres per
hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 95 kilometres of 8.8 degrees South 89.6 degrees East,
estimated to be 880 kilometres west northwest of Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
Movement: east at 22 kilometres per hour.
Tropical Low (11U) may develop over the weekend northwest of Cocos (Keeling)
Islands. During Monday the system will move south, possibly close to the Cocos
(Keeling) Islands and most likely as a tropical low with gales. It is forecast
to then develop further but be moving away from the islands on Tuesday.
Hazards:
Gales and heavy rainfall are not expected over the Cocos (Keeling) Islands in
the next 24 hours, however could develop during Monday.
Recommended Action:
Ensure you know what to do in a cyclone. For the latest community alerts and
warnings visit www.emergency.wa.gov.au or download the Emergency WA app.
Next Advice:
The next advice will be issued by 7:30 pm CCT Saturday 03 January.
Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532). Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this warning.
PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 2
Issued at 8:42 pm WST on Saturday 3 January 2026
Headline:
Tropical Low 11U may impact Cocos (Keeling) Islands as it passes close by on Monday.
Areas Affected:
Warning Zone
None.
Watch Zone
Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
Cancelled Zone
None.
Details of Tropical Low 11U at 6:30 pm CCT:
Intensity: Tropical Low, sustained winds near the centre of 45 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 95 kilometres of 8.6 degrees South 89.9 degrees East, estimated to be 860 kilometres west northwest of Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
Movement: east at 15 kilometres per hour.
Tropical Low 11U may develop well to the northwest of the Cocos (Keeling) Islands during Sunday. The low is expected to move eastwards before turning southeast and then southwards on Sunday night. It is expected to pass close to the Cocos (Keeling) Islands during Monday.
11U is forecast to develop only slightly during this period and remain a tropical low with gales. However, it is forecast to develop into a tropical cyclone as it moves southwards, away from the islands, on Tuesday.
Hazards:
Gales and heavy rainfall are not expected over the Cocos (Keeling) Islands during Sunday but may develop during Monday as Tropical Low 11U passes close to the islands.
Recommended Action:
Ensure you know what to do in a cyclone. For the latest community alerts and warnings visit www.emergency.wa.gov.au or download the Emergency WA app.
Next Advice:
The next advice will be issued by 1:30 am CCT Sunday 04 January.
ABIO10 PGTW 031300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
REISSUED/031300Z-031800ZJAN2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/030151ZJAN2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 03JAN26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (GRANT) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 14.6S 65.5E, APPROXIMATELY 574 NM NORTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS,
MAURITIUS, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS
GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 030300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
10.0S 88.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.7S 89.9E, APPROXIMATELY 465 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING COMPACT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) EMBEDDED WITHIN PERSISTENT CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS
REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT MOVING FORWARD WITH LOW TO
MODERATE (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE NORTHEAST, WARM (28-29
C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ON THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM WHILE BEING SLIGHTLY RESTRICTED ON THE EASTERN
SIDE. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT 91S
WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD WITH STEADY INTENSIFICATION OVER
THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO MEDIUM.//
NNNN
IDW24400
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.
PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 3
Issued at 2:46 am WST on Sunday 4 January 2026
Headline:
Tropical Low 11U to impact Cocos (Keeling) Islands as it passes close by on
Monday.
Areas Affected:
Warning zone: None.
Watch zone: Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
Cancelled zone: None.
Details of Tropical Low 11U at 12:30 am CCT:
Intensity: Tropical Low, sustained winds near the centre of 75 kilometres per
hour with wind gusts to 100 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 55 kilometres of 8.0 degrees South 90.9 degrees East,
estimated to be 800 kilometres northwest of Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
Movement: east northeast at 19 kilometres per hour.
Tropical Low 11U is developing well to the northwest of the Cocos (Keeling)
Islands. It is expected to move eastwards during Sunday, before turning
southeast and then southwards on Sunday night.
This movement will bring the low close to the Cocos (Keeling) Islands on Monday
with an increasing chance of gales developing during the day on Monday.
Hazards:
Gales and heavy rain are not expected over the Cocos (Keeling) Islands during
Sunday but will develop during Monday as Tropical Low 11U approaches the
islands from the north.
Recommended Action:
Ensure you know what to do in a cyclone. For the latest community alerts and
warnings visit www.emergency.wa.gov.au or download the Emergency WA app.
Next Advice:
The next advice will be issued by 7:30 am CCT Sunday 04 January.
WTXS21 PGTW 031800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 91S)//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8.0S 91.5E TO 10.7S 96.9E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 27 TO 32 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 031800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 8.1S 91.6E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 18
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
8.7S 89.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.1S 91.6E, APPROXIMATELY 395 NM
NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS PERSISTENT CONVECTION OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION OF A
CONSOLIDATING, COMPACT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EVIDENT IN A
031440Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE
CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (10-15 KTS)
NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES, AND FAVORABLE POLEWARD AND WESTWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL
DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 91S WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD AND STEADILY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24-
48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 27 TO 32
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
041800Z.//
NNNN
ABIO10 PGTW 031800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z-
041800ZJAN2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031351ZJAN2026//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031751ZJAN2026//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 03JAN26 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (GRANT) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 14.9S 63.8E, APPROXIMATELY 485 NM NORTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS,
MAURITIUS, AND HAD TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS
GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 031500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
8.7S 89.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.1S 91.6EE, APPROXIMATELY 395 NM
NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS PERSISTENT CONVECTION OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION OF A
CONSOLIDATING, COMPACT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EVIDENT IN A
031440Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE
CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (10-15 KTS)
NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES, AND FAVORABLE POLEWARD AND WESTWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL
DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 91S WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD AND STEADILY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24-
48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 27 TO 32
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF B (WTXS21 PGTW 031800)
FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this warning.
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 4
Issued at 8:54 am WST on Sunday 4 January 2026
Headline:
Developing Tropical Low 11U to impact Cocos (Keeling) Islands as it passes close by on Monday.
Areas Affected:
Warning Zone
Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
Watch Zone
None.
Cancelled Zone
None.
Details of Tropical Low 11U at 6:30 am CCT:
Intensity: Tropical Low, sustained winds near the centre of 75 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 100 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 45 kilometres of 8.1 degrees South 92.7 degrees East, estimated to be 640 kilometres northwest of Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
Movement: east at 25 kilometres per hour.
Tropical Low 11U is developing well to the northwest of the Cocos (Keeling) Islands. It is expected to move east to southeast on Sunday and then southwards on Sunday night.
The system is expected to move close to the Cocos (Keeling) Islands during Monday with gales likely on the eastern side of the tropical low. Cocos (Keeling) Islands are more likely to experience gales if the system takes track over or to the west of the Islands. By Tuesday the system will be moving southwest away from the Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
Hazards:
GALES with DAMAGING WIND GUSTS to 110 km/h may develop over Cocos (Keeling) Islands from Monday morning, if the system takes a track closer to or west of the Islands.
Rainfall will increase during Monday and may be heavy if the system takes a track closer to or west of the Islands.
Recommended Action:
Ensure you know what to do in a cyclone. For the latest community alerts and warnings visit www.emergency.wa.gov.au or download the Emergency WA app.
Next Advice:
The next advice will be issued by 10:30 am CCT Sunday 04 January.
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this warning.
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 5
Issued at 11:46 am WST on Sunday 4 January 2026
Headline:
Developing Tropical Low 11U to impact Cocos (Keeling) Islands as it passes close by on Monday.
Areas Affected:
Warning Zone
Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
Watch Zone
None.
Cancelled Zone
None.
Details of Tropical Low 11U at 9:30 am CCT:
Intensity: Tropical Low, sustained winds near the centre of 75 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 100 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 45 kilometres of 7.8 degrees South 93.7 degrees East, estimated to be 600 kilometres northwest of Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
Movement: east at 29 kilometres per hour.
Tropical Low 11U is developing well to the northwest of the Cocos (Keeling) Islands. It is expected to move east to southeast on Sunday and then southwards on Sunday night.
The system is expected to move close to the Cocos (Keeling) Islands during Monday with gales likely on the eastern side of the tropical low. Cocos (Keeling) Islands are more likely to experience gales if the system takes track over or to the west of the Islands. By Tuesday the system will be moving southwest away from the Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
Hazards:
GALES with DAMAGING WIND GUSTS to 110 km/h may develop over Cocos (Keeling) Islands from Monday morning, if the system takes a track closer to or west of the Islands.
Rainfall will increase during Monday and may be heavy if the system takes a track closer to or west of the Islands.
Recommended Action:
Ensure you know what to do in a cyclone. For the latest community alerts and warnings visit www.emergency.wa.gov.au or download the Emergency WA app.
Next Advice:
The next advice will be issued by 1:30 pm CCT Sunday 04 January.
IDW24400
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 6
Issued at 2:51 pm WST on Sunday 4 January 2026
Headline:
Developing Tropical Low 11U to impact Cocos (Keeling) Islands as it passes
close by on Monday.
Areas Affected:
Warning zone: Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
Watch zone: None.
Cancelled zone: None.
Details of Tropical Low 11U at 12:30 pm CCT:
Intensity: Tropical Low, sustained winds near the centre of 65 kilometres per
hour with wind gusts to 95 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 45 kilometres of 8.0 degrees South 94.5 degrees East,
estimated to be 530 kilometres north northwest of Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
Movement: east at 33 kilometres per hour.
Tropical Low 11U is developing well to the northwest of the Cocos (Keeling)
Islands. It is expected to move southeast on Sunday and then southwards on
Sunday night.
The system is expected to move close to the Cocos (Keeling) Islands during
Monday with gales likely on the eastern side of the tropical low. The track is
most likely to the east of Cocos (Keeling) Islands reducing the risk of gales.
However if the system was to take a track closer to or west of the Islands,
there remains a risk of gales impacting the Islands. By Tuesday the system will
be moving southwest away from the Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
Hazards:
GALES with DAMAGING WIND GUSTS to 100 km/h may develop over Cocos (Keeling)
Islands from Monday morning, if the system takes a track closer to or west of
the Islands.
Rainfall will increase during Monday and may be heavy if the system takes a
track closer to or west of the Islands.
Recommended Action:
Ensure you know what to do in a cyclone. For the latest community alerts and
warnings visit www.emergency.wa.gov.au or download the Emergency WA app.
Next Advice:
The next advice will be issued by 4:30 pm CCT Sunday 04 January.
发表于 2026-1-3 00:40
