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墨西哥东南94E - 10.1N 86.6W - NHC:10%

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1156

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论坛版主-副热带高压

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1156
QQ
发表于 2025-6-14 20:42 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
本帖最后由 933954 于 2025-6-14 21:12 编辑

EP, 94, 2025061412,   , BEST,   0, 101N,  866W,  20, 1009, DB



1. Offshore of Central America and Southeastern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, has
formed just off the Pacific coast of Costa Rica and is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of the low, and a tropical
depression could form by the middle of next week while moving
westward or west-northwestward just offshore the coasts of El
Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

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评分

参与人数 1金钱 +3 威望 +3 收起 理由
理可的呆萌呆毛 + 3 + 3 94E

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1280

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强热带风暴

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1280
发表于 2025-6-14 21:13 | 显示全部楼层
印象里有AI模型报过有TC会在这里生成然后铲进墨西哥湾重生,不知道是不是这个

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8525

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3万

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顶级超台

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33270
发表于 2025-6-15 04:55 | 显示全部楼层
985
ABPZ20 KNHC 141702
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Jun 14 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Dalila, located in the eastern Pacific basin off the coast of
southwestern Mexico.

Offshore of Central America and Southeastern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is
located just off the Pacific coast of Costa Rica and is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of the low, and a tropical
depression could form by the middle of next week while moving
westward or west-northwestward just offshore the coasts of El
Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg/Gibbs



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发表于 2025-6-15 05:25 | 显示全部楼层
稍早前ASCAT风场扫描





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惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。

99

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8525

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3万

积分

顶级超台

积分
33270
发表于 2025-6-15 07:35 | 显示全部楼层
511
ABPZ20 KNHC 142329
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Jun 14 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Dalila, located in the eastern Pacific basin off the coast of
southwestern Mexico.

Offshore of Central America and Southeastern Mexico (EP94):
A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is
located offshore of the Pacific coast of Costa Rica and is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of the low, and a tropical
depression could form by the middle of next week while moving
westward to west-northwestward just offshore of the coasts of El
Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart



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