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西澳以北二级热带气旋“卢安娜”(16U/17S.Luana) - 24日登陆西澳北部

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发表于 2026-1-25 13:57 | 显示全部楼层
JTWC 00Z分析认定中心在陆地上
TPXS12 PGTW 250002
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (LUANA)
B. 24/2330Z
C. 18.08S
D. 123.85E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. DVORAK VALUES UNAVAILABLE DUE TO
LLCC OVER LAND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   TIMMERMAN
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
发表于 2026-1-25 14:04 | 显示全部楼层
JTWC 03Z分析继续认定中心在陆地上
TPXS12 PGTW 250233
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (LUANA)
B. 25/0230Z
C. 18.29S
D. 124.25E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. DVORAK VALUES UNAVAILABLE DUE TO
LLCC OVER LAND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   RUCKER
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
发表于 2026-1-25 14:44 | 显示全部楼层
JTWC 06Z分析继续认定中心在陆地上
TPXS12 PGTW 250541
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (LUANA)
B. 25/0530Z
C. 18.54S
D. 124.34E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. DVORAK VALUES UNAVAILABLE DUE TO
LLCC OVER LAND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
   25/0047Z  18.10S  123.72E  GPMI
   RUCKER
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
发表于 2026-1-25 17:05 | 显示全部楼层
JTWC 09Z分析继续认定中心在陆地上
TPXS12 PGTW 250832
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (LUANA)
B. 25/0830Z
C. 18.61S
D. 124.09E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. DVORAK VALUES UNAVAILABLE DUE TO
LLCC OVER LAND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   RUCKER
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
发表于 2026-1-25 20:12 | 显示全部楼层
JTWC 12Z分析继续认定中心在陆地上
TPXS12 PGTW 251202
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (LUANA)
B. 25/1130Z
C. 18.70S
D. 124.41E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. DVORAK VALUES UNAVAILABLE DUE TO
LLCC OVER LAND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   BALMER
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。

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1万

积分

超强台风

Super Typhoon

积分
14422
发表于 2026-1-25 21:15 | 显示全部楼层
Global Disaster Weather Monitoring and Forecast News
Producer:Huo Da, Xiang Chunyi  Bao Yuanyuan  Checker:Dai Kan  2026 年 01 月 24 日 11 时

"Luana" to Bring Severe Wind and Rain to Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone "Luana," classified as a Category 1 system, formed over the northwestern waters of Australia on the night of January 23 (Beijing time) (Figure 1). It is expected to move southeastward and make landfall near the coast of the Dampier Peninsula in northwestern Australia around 14:00 on January 24 (Beijing time). After landfall, Luana will continue its southeastward trajectory, moving further inland.

Affected by this system, over the next five days, central and eastern Western Australia will experience heavy to torrential rain, with some areas facing extreme downpours. The cumulative precipitation in these regions is expected to range from 40 to 90 millimeters, with some areas receiving 120 to 220 millimeters, and locally exceeding 250 millimeters (Figure 2). The northern coastal areas of Western Australia will see winds of 9 to 10 on the Beaufort scale, with gusts reaching 11 to 13 (Figure 3). Attention should be given to the potential secondary disasters caused by the heavy rainfall, such as flash floods and urban waterlogging, as well as the adverse impacts on transportation and other industries.

Additionally, the heavy rainfall has alleviated the extreme heat in western Australia. However, over the next five days, most of central and eastern Australia will continue to experience high temperatures ranging from 35 to 40°C, with localized areas expected to see maximum temperatures exceeding 42°C (Figure 4).



Figure 1. Satellite Infrared Monitoring Image (Beijing Time, 23:00, January 23, 2026)



Figure 2. Forecast of Accumulated Precipitation from 20:00 on January 24 to 20:00 on January 29, 2026 (Beijing Time) (Shaded, Unit: mm)



Figure 3. Maximum Gust Forecast from 14:00 on January 24 to 14:00 on January 25, 2026 (Beijing Time) (Shaded, Unit: m/s)



Figure 4. Forecast of Average Maximum Temperature from 20:00 on January 24 to 20:00 on January 29, 2026 (Beijing Time) (Shaded areas indicate temperatures of 35°C and above, Unit: °C)


Author: Huo Da, Xiang Chunyi                    Reviewer: Bao Yuanyuan
English reviewer:Wang Yi                                                    Issue approver:Dai Kan

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发表于 2026-1-25 23:41 | 显示全部楼层
JTWC 15Z分析继续认定中心在陆地上
TPXS12 PGTW 251504
A. REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (LUANA)
B. 25/1430Z
C. 19.05S
D. 124.10E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 71A/PBO XTRP/ANMTN. DVORAK VALUES UNAVAILABLE DUE TO
LLCC OVER LAND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   BALMER
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
发表于 2026-1-26 02:25 | 显示全部楼层
JTWC 18Z分析继续认定中心在陆地上
TPXS12 PGTW 251756
A. REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (LUANA)
B. 25/1730Z
C. 19.09S
D. 124.00E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. DVORAK VALUES UNAVAILABLE DUE TO
LLCC OVER LAND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   BRYANT
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
发表于 2026-1-26 05:44 | 显示全部楼层
JTWC 21Z分析继续认定中心在陆地上
TPXS12 PGTW 252044
A. REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (LUANA)
B. 25/2030Z
C. 19.58S
D. 123.50E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. DVORAK VALUES UNAVAILABLE DUE TO
LLCC OVER LAND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   BRYANT
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
发表于 2026-1-26 10:10 | 显示全部楼层
JTWC 00Z分析继续认定中心在陆地上
TPXS12 PGTW 252354
A. REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (LUANA)
B. 25/2330Z
C. 20.07S
D. 123.69E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. DVORAK VALUES UNAVAILABLE DUE TO
LLCC OVER LAND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   BRYANT
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
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