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本帖最后由 pocketbox 于 2026-1-11 09:05 编辑
IDQ20018
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION
Issued by AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0100 UTC 11/01/2026
Name: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Koji
Identifier: 12U
Data At: 0000 UTC
Latitude: 19.8S
Longitude: 147.6E
Location Accuracy: within 25nm (45 km)
Movement Towards: south southwest (191 deg)
Speed of Movement: 10 knots (18 km/h)
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 30 knots (55 km/h)
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 50 knots (95 km/h)
Central Pressure: 991 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds: nm ( km)
Radius of Maximum Winds: nm ( km)
Dvorak Intensity Code:
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1000 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 140 nm (260 km)
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
(UTC) : degrees : nm (km): knots(km/h): hPa
+06: 11/0600: : : :
+12: 11/1200: : : :
+18: 11/1800: : : :
+24: 12/0000: : : :
+36: 12/1200: : : :
+48: 13/0000: : : :
+60: 13/1200: : : :
+72: 14/0000: : : :
+96: 15/0000: : : :
+120: 16/0000: : : :
REMARKS:
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Koji has moved over land.
Position based on animated visible imagery, nearby observations at Alva Beach
and Ayr, and radar.
Gales were observed until recently to the southeast at Hamilton Island.
Intensity of 30 kt based upon weakening observations.
All guidance is consistent with continued weakening over land today, with a
longer term track moving to the west owing to a weak low to mid-level ridge to
the south. From Thursday or Friday, there is a slim chance the remnants of this
system reaches the Gulf of Carpentaria waters, but at this stage it is deemed a
very low risk of redevelopment. And over next weekend there is a chance of the
system moving offshore of the northwest WA coast and redevelopment is a Low
risk.
Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
There will be no further bulletins for this system unless it reintensifies.
IDQ20023
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this warning.
PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 17
Issued at 10:37 am EST on Sunday 11 January 2026
Headline:
Koji has crossed the coast between Ayr and Bowen and has weakened below tropical cyclone intensity. Heavy rainfall is occurring between Ayr and Mackay.
Areas Affected:
Warning Zone
None.
Watch Zone
None.
Cancelled Zone
Whitsunday Islands. Ayr to Mackay, including Bowen and Proserpine.
Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Koji 12U at 10:00 am AEST:
Intensity: Tropical Low, sustained winds near the centre of 55 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 95 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 45 kilometres of 19.8 degrees South 147.6 degrees East, estimated to be 70 kilometres west northwest of Bowen and 225 kilometres northwest of Mackay.
Movement: south southwest at 18 kilometres per hour.
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Koji (12U) has crossed the coast between Ayr and Bowen, just south of the Burdekin River Mouth, and has weakened below tropical cyclone intensity. Ex-Tropical Cyclone Koji is forecast to weaken further and move further inland.
Hazards:
HEAVY RAINFALL which may lead to FLASH FLOODING is occurring along coastal parts between Ayr and St Lawrence. Locally INTENSE RAINFALL which may lead to DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING is possible about areas between Ayr and Mackay today. A Severe Weather Warning is current, and Severe Thunderstorm Warnings may be issued and should be referred to for more information.
Flood Watches and Warnings are also current.
Recommended Action:
People between Ayr and Mackay, including Bowen, Proserpine and the Whitsunday Islands should refer to the Severe Weather Warning.
- Stay informed by checking your local government s Disaster Dashboards for the latest updates.
IF YOUR LIFE IS IN DANGER PHONE TRIPLE ZERO (000) IMMEDIATELY. For non-life threatening emergency assistance contact State Emergency Services (SES) online via the SES Assistance QLD App (Apple, Android), online 132500.qld.gov.au, or call 132 500 from anywhere in Queensland.
Next Advice:
No further advices will be issued for this system.
This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and the State Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.
A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at: http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone
| | Time (AEST) | Intensity Category | Latitude
(decimal deg.) | Longitude
(decimal deg.) | Estimated Position
Accuracy (km) | | 0hr | 10 am January 11 | tropical low | 19.8S | 147.6E | 45 | | +6hr | 4 pm January 11 | tropical low | XXX | XXX | XXX | | +12hr | 10 pm January 11 | tropical low | XXX | XXX | XXX | | +18hr | 4 am January 12 | tropical low | XXX | XXX | XXX | | +24hr | 10 am January 12 | tropical low | XXX | XXX | XXX | | +36hr | 10 pm January 12 | tropical low | XXX | XXX | XXX | | +48hr | 10 am January 13 | tropical low | XXX | XXX | XXX | | +60hr | 10 pm January 13 | tropical low | XXX | XXX | XXX | | +72hr | 10 am January 14 | tropical low | XXX | XXX | XXX |
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楼主: 大水台6
发表于 2026-1-11 06:00
