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发表于 2025-9-29 05:00
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JTWC/26W/#22/09-28 18Z Final Warning
WTPN31 PGTW 282100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 26W (BUALOI) WARNING NR 022//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 26W (BUALOI) WARNING NR 022
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281800Z --- NEAR 18.2N 106.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N 106.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 19.4N 103.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 20.4N 101.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 21.5N 98.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
282100Z POSITION NEAR 18.5N 105.6E.
28SEP25. TYPHOON 26W (BUALOI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 169 NM SOUTH
OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. BASED ON RADAR ANALYSIS, THE EYE OF TYPHOON
(TY) 26W MADE LANDFALL TO THE NORTH OF HAI PHONG, VIETNAM AROUND THE
281600Z HOUR AND HAS CONTINUED TO SKIRT NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
COASTLINE THROUGH THE 251800Z HOUR. AT 1800Z, THE EYE WAS LOCATED IN
THE VICINITY OF HA TINH AND SHOULD PASS SOUTH OF VINH WITHIN THE NEXT
FEW HOURS. THE SYSTEM RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PREVIOUS 12 HOURS,
AND A 281104Z RCM-2 SAR PASS REVEALED A WIDE SWATH OF WINDS EXCEEDING
80-90 KNOTS, RESULTING IN A REANALYSIS OF THE PREVIOUS INTENSITY
ESTIMATES UPWARD TO 85 KNOTS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY AT 1800Z IS
ASSESSED WITH MEDIUM CONFIDENCE BASED PRIMARILY ON A DPRINT ESTIMATE
OF 81 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK
NORTHWESTWARD WHILE RAPIDLY WEAKENING AS IT TRACKS INTO LAOS AND
ULTIMATELY DISSIPATES OVER NORTHEASTERN MYANMAR BY TAU 36.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 281800Z IS 970
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 35 FEET.
REFER TO TYPHOON 25W (NEOGURI) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
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楼主: ygsj24
发表于 2025-9-28 23:45
