2522号热带气旋“夏浪”(28W.Halong)机构发报专帖

yhh

WDPN32 PGTW 041500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W (TWENTYEIGHT)
WARNING NR 001//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.

SUMMARY:
   INITIAL POSITION: 24.8N 143.3E
   INITIAL INTENSITY: 30 KTS
   GEOGRAPHIC REFERENCE: 109 NM EAST OF IWO TO
   MOVEMENT PAST 6 HOURS: NORTHWARD AT 08 KTS
   SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT: 13 FEET

SATELLITE ANALYSIS, INITIAL POSITION AND INTENSITY DISCUSSION:
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 28W WITH DEEP CONVECTION CONFINED TO THE EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE OF A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC). THE VORTEX APPEARS TO BE TILTED WITH HEIGHT. THE MID-LEVEL
CENTER IS ANALYZED TO BE OFFSET TO THE EAST, AND MODELS ARE
CURRENTLY REFLECTING THAT. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT
28W IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY MODERATE
POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND
WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE INITIAL POSITION IS
PLACED WITH MEDIUM CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE PARTIALLY EXPOSED LLCC
IN ANIMATED EIR IMAGERY. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 30 KTS IS
ASSESSED WITH MEDIUM CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE AGENCY DVORAK FIXES OF
T1.5-2.0 AND AN EARLY CIMSS DPRINT ESTIMATE OF 29 KTS.

INITIAL WIND RADII BASIS: NOT APPLICABLE (THERE ARE NO INITIAL WIND
RADII).

CURRENT STEERING MECHANISM: WEAK STEERING PATTERN WITH RIDGING TO
BOTH THE EAST AND WEST

AGENCY DVORAK AND AUTOMATED FIXES:
   PGTW: T2.0 - 30 KTS
   RJTD: T1.5 - 25 KTS
   KNES: T1.5 - 25 KTS
   CIMSS D-PRINT: 29 KTS AT 041200Z

FORECASTER ASSESSMENT OF CURRENT ENVIRONMENT: FAVORABLE
   VWS: 10-15 KTS
   SST: 29-30 CELSIUS
   OUTFLOW: MODERATE POLEWARD
   OTHER FACTORS: DRY AIR OVER THE WESTERN PERIPHERY

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE:
   INITIAL POSITION: MEDIUM
   INITIAL INTENSITY: MEDIUM
   INITIAL WIND RADII: NOT APPLICABLE

3. FORECAST REASONING.

SIGNIFICANT FORECAST CHANGES: THIS INITIAL PROGNOSTIC REASONING
MESSAGE ESTABLISHES THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY.

FORECAST DISCUSSION: 28W IS FORECAST TO TRACK SLOWLY WESTWARD
THROUGH TAU 24 AS THE STEERING PATTERN REMAINS WEAK. AFTER TAU 24,
TRACK SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS RIDGING TO THE EAST
EXTENDS NORTH OF THE SYSTEM AND BECOMES THE PRIMARY STEERING
MECHANISM. NEAR TAU 72, 28W IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWESTWARD AS IT
BEGINS TO ROUND THE SOUTHWESTERN EXTENT OF THE RIDGE. A TRACK
NORTHWARD, ALONG THE WESTERN EXTENT OF THE RIDGE, IS FORECAST TO
OCCUR NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD (TAU 120). HOWEVER, THERE
IS ALSO A STRONG RIDGE CENTERED OVER EASTERN CHINA THAT COULD
POTENTIALLY EXTEND TO THE NORTH OF 28W NEAR TAU 72, WHICH WOULD
PREVENT A RECURVE AND CAUSE A FURTHER WESTWARD TRACK. IF A MORE
SOUTHERN TRACK IS TAKEN DURING THE FIRST 72 HOURS, A FURTHER
WESTWARD TRACK WILL BE MORE LIKELY, AND POTENTIAL IMPACTS TO
OKINAWA WOULD BE MORE LIKELY. HOWEVER, A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK
DURING THE FIRST 72 HOURS WOULD FAVOR AN EARLY RECURVE. REGARDING
INTENSITY, 28W IS FORECAST TO STEADILY INTENSIFY THROUGH TAU 48 TO
AROUND 60 KTS. THE ENVIRONMENT WILL BE FAVORABLE, BUT IT WILL TAKE
SOME TIME FOR THE VORTEX TO BE FULLY ALIGNED. ONCE THAT HAPPENS,
RAPID INTENSIFICATION (RI) IS LIKELY TO OCCUR. A STRONG POLEWARD
OUTFLOW CHANNEL IS EXPECTED TO FORM NEAR TAU 60, WHICH WILL FURTHER
AID IN THE POTENTIAL RI. AN INTENSITY OF AROUND 105 KTS IS
CURRENTLY FORECAST FOR TAU 96, AS 28W BEGINS TO RECURVE. NEAR TAU
120, SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE, PUTTING A CAP ON
INTENSIFICATION.

MODEL DISCUSSION: NUMERICAL MODEL TRACK GUIDANCE, WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF GALWEM, IS IN MODERATE AGREEMENT THROUGH TAU 72, WITH
A 195 NM CROSS-TRACK SPREAD AT THAT TIME. ECMWF IS THE SOUTHERNMOST
MEMBER WHILE GFS IS THE NORTHERNMOST MEMBER. AS A RESULT, ECMWF
TAKES THE SYSTEM WESTWARD AFTER TAU 96 RATHER THAN RECURVING WHILE
GFS HAS THE EARLIEST RECURVE. GUIDANCE AGREEMENT BECOMES VERY POOR
AFTER TAU 96 WITH A 490 NM CROSS-TRACK SPREAD AT TAU 120. THE JTWC
TRACK FORECAST IS HEDGED CLOSER TO THE ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN, GFS
ENSEMBLE MEAN, AND EC-AIFS WITH MEDIUM CONFIDENCE THROUGH TAU 72
AND LOW CONFIDENCE THEREAFTER. INTENSITY GUIDANCE IS IN RELATIVELY
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH ALL MODELS DEPICTING INTENSIFICATION THROUGH
TAU 96. PEAK INTENSITIES RANGE FROM 90 KTS (GFS) TO 115 KTS
(COAMPS-TC). THE JTWC INTENSITY FORECAST IS PLACED CLOSE TO THE
MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS WITH OVERALL MEDIUM CONFIDENCE.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE:
   TRACK 00-72 HR: MEDIUM
   TRACK 72-120 HR: LOW
   INTENSITY 00-72 HR: MEDIUM
   INTENSITY 72-120 HR: MEDIUM//
NNNN

yhh

熱帯低気圧 b
2025年10月05日01時20分発表

05日00時の実況
種別        熱帯低気圧
大きさ        -
強さ        -
存在地域        小笠原近海
中心位置        北緯24度55分 (24.9度)
東経143度55分 (143.9度)
進行方向、速さ        西 ゆっくり
中心気圧        1004 hPa
中心付近の最大風速        15 m/s (30 kt)
最大瞬間風速        23 m/s (45 kt)

06日00時の予報
種別        台風
強さ        -
存在地域        小笠原近海
予報円の中心        北緯24度25分 (24.4度)
東経140度50分 (140.8度)
進行方向、速さ        西 15 km/h (7 kt)
中心気圧        1000 hPa
中心付近の最大風速        18 m/s (35 kt)
最大瞬間風速        25 m/s (50 kt)
予報円の半径        130 km (70 NM)

06日21時の予報
種別        台風
強さ        -
存在地域        日本の南
予報円の中心        北緯24度25分 (24.4度)
東経137度50分 (137.8度)
進行方向、速さ        西 15 km/h (7 kt)
中心気圧        992 hPa
中心付近の最大風速        23 m/s (45 kt)
最大瞬間風速        35 m/s (65 kt)
予報円の半径        200 km (110 NM)

07日21時の予報
種別        台風
強さ        -
存在地域        日本の南
予報円の中心        北緯24度40分 (24.7度)
東経133度55分 (133.9度)
進行方向、速さ        西 15 km/h (9 kt)
中心気圧        985 hPa
中心付近の最大風速        30 m/s (55 kt)
最大瞬間風速        40 m/s (80 kt)
予報円の半径        260 km (140 NM)
暴風警戒域        全域 350 km (190 NM)

08日21時の予報
種別        台風
強さ        強い
存在地域        日本の南
予報円の中心        北緯25度20分 (25.3度)
東経131度05分 (131.1度)
進行方向、速さ        西 15 km/h (7 kt)
中心気圧        975 hPa
中心付近の最大風速        35 m/s (65 kt)
最大瞬間風速        50 m/s (95 kt)
予報円の半径        390 km (210 NM)
暴風警戒域        全域 500 km (270 NM)

09日21時の予報
種別        台風
強さ        強い
存在地域        沖縄の南
予報円の中心        北緯25度50分 (25.8度)
東経129度50分 (129.8度)
進行方向、速さ        西北西 ゆっくり
中心気圧        975 hPa
中心付近の最大風速        35 m/s (65 kt)
最大瞬間風速        50 m/s (95 kt)
予報円の半径        590 km (320 NM)
暴風警戒域        全域 700 km (380 NM)

ygsj24

ZCZC
WSCI40 BABJ 041800
TO BCSY BCHK BCSH BCCD BCGZ
BETY BEXA BETJ BESZ BEJN BEZZ BEBJ
2053 0669 1417 0143 2456 (24.8) 9887 9976
(142.6) 9878 4104 3583 1601 3049 2467 2456
9904 9818 9899 7030 1193 4882 3634 4574
(2522) 5714 3583 1601 3049 2467 9975
BABJ/3049 9710 9904 9818 =
NNNN

ZCZC
TCPQ40 BABJ 041800 CCA
CCAA 04180 99398 11165
MATMO 21196 11128 12434 245// 93017
HALONG 22248 11426 123// 225// 9////
NNNN

ZCZC
WTPQ20 BABJ 041800
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TS HALONG 2522 (2522) INITIAL TIME 041800 UTC
00HR 24.8N 142.6E 998HPA 18M/S
30KTS WINDS 200KM NORTHEAST
200KM SOUTHEAST
150KM SOUTHWEST
100KM NORTHWEST
MOVE WSW 7KM/H
P+12HR 24.6N 141.8E 995HPA 20M/S
P+24HR 24.6N 141.0E 990HPA 23M/S
P+36HR 24.8N 139.4E 985HPA 25M/S
P+48HR 25.0N 137.8E 980HPA 30M/S
P+60HR 25.4N 135.9E 970HPA 35M/S
P+72HR 26.1N 134.0E 960HPA 40M/S
P+96HR 28.1N 132.2E 955HPA 42M/S
P+120HR 29.9N 132.1E 955HPA 42M/S=
NNNN

ygsj24

台風第22号(ハーロン)
2025年10月05日04時30分発表

05日03時の実況
種別        台風
大きさ        -
強さ        -
存在地域        小笠原近海
中心位置        北緯25度05分 (25.1度)
東経143度50分 (143.8度)
進行方向、速さ        西 ゆっくり
中心気圧        1002 hPa
中心付近の最大風速        18 m/s (35 kt)
最大瞬間風速        25 m/s (50 kt)
15m/s以上の強風域        北東側 330 km (180 NM)
南西側 220 km (120 NM)

06日03時の予報
種別        台風
強さ        -
存在地域        小笠原近海
予報円の中心        北緯24度40分 (24.7度)
東経141度00分 (141.0度)
進行方向、速さ        西 10 km/h (6 kt)
中心気圧        998 hPa
中心付近の最大風速        20 m/s (40 kt)
最大瞬間風速        30 m/s (60 kt)
予報円の半径        105 km (57 NM)

07日03時の予報
種別        台風
強さ        -
存在地域        日本の南
予報円の中心        北緯25度05分 (25.1度)
東経138度00分 (138.0度)
進行方向、速さ        西 15 km/h (7 kt)
中心気圧        990 hPa
中心付近の最大風速        25 m/s (50 kt)
最大瞬間風速        35 m/s (70 kt)
予報円の半径        185 km (100 NM)

08日03時の予報
種別        台風
強さ        -
存在地域        日本の南
予報円の中心        北緯25度50分 (25.8度)
東経134度00分 (134.0度)
進行方向、速さ        西 15 km/h (9 kt)
中心気圧        980 hPa
中心付近の最大風速        30 m/s (60 kt)
最大瞬間風速        45 m/s (85 kt)
予報円の半径        300 km (160 NM)
暴風警戒域        全域 390 km (210 NM)

09日03時の予報
種別        台風
強さ        強い
存在地域        日本の南
予報円の中心        北緯26度20分 (26.3度)
東経133度10分 (133.2度)
進行方向、速さ        ほとんど停滞
中心気圧        970 hPa
中心付近の最大風速        35 m/s (70 kt)
最大瞬間風速        50 m/s (100 kt)
予報円の半径        370 km (200 NM)
暴風警戒域        全域 480 km (260 NM)

10日03時の予報
種別        台風
強さ        強い
存在地域        日本の南
予報円の中心        北緯26度55分 (26.9度)
東経132度35分 (132.6度)
進行方向、速さ        ほとんど停滞
中心気圧        970 hPa
中心付近の最大風速        35 m/s (70 kt)
最大瞬間風速        50 m/s (100 kt)
予報円の半径        460 km (250 NM)
暴風警戒域        全域 570 km (310 NM)

1. WTPQ31 RJTD 041800
   
2. RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
   
3. REASONING NO. 3 FOR TS 2522 HALONG (2522)
   
4. 1.GENERAL COMMENTS
   
5.   A TD PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 24.8N, 143.9E HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TS
   
6.   (HALONG) STATUS. TS HALONG IS LOCATED AT 25.1N, 143.8E.
   
7.   INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND
   
8.   SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL
   
9.   PRESSURE IS 1002HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER
   
10.   ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
    
11.   DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS
    
12.   AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
    
13.   DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
    
14.   INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
    
15.   OBSERVATIONS.
    
16. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
    
17.   THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY
    
18.   OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
    
19.   GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD
    
20.   CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE NOW DISTINCT.
    
21.   GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE
    
22.   CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
    
23. 3.TRACK FORECAST
    
24.   THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
    
25.   SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
    
26.   PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
    
27.   CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
    
28.   OUTPUTS.
    
29. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST
    
30.   THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
    
31.   INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THE INTENSITY
    
32.   FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
    
33. =

复制代码

ygsj24

No.22 HALONG KMA | Issued at(KST) : Sun, 5 Oct 2025, 04:40

Date(UTC)	Intensity		Maximum Sustained Wind(m/s)		Central Pressure (hPa)	Position		Moving Direction	Moving Speed(km/h)	Radius of 15 m/s(km) [Exceptional radius]	Radius of 25 m/s(km) [Exceptional radius]	Radius of 70% probability(km)
			m/s	km/h		Lat (N)	Lon (E)
Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 18:00 Analysis	-	1	18	65	1002	25.1	143.6	NNW	5	210 [SW 110]		-
Sun, 5 Oct 2025, 06:00 Forecast	-	1	19	68	1000	24.9	141.9	W	15	220 [SW 120]		50
Sun, 5 Oct 2025, 18:00 Forecast	-	1	20	72	996	24.8	141.0	W	8	230 [SW 130]		90
Mon, 6 Oct 2025, 06:00 Forecast	-	1	23	83	992	24.9	139.5	W	12	260 [SW 160]		110
Mon, 6 Oct 2025, 18:00 Forecast	Normal	2	27	97	985	25.1	137.6	W	16	290 [SW 190]	60 [SW 40]	130
Tue, 7 Oct 2025, 18:00 Forecast	Normal	2	29	104	980	25.7	134.1	W	15	330 [SW 230]	70 [SW 40]	190
Wed, 8 Oct 2025, 18:00 Forecast	Strong	3	35	126	970	26.0	132.9	WNW	5	390 [SW 290]	80 [SW 60]	280
Thu, 9 Oct 2025, 18:00 Forecast	Strong	3	35	126	970	26.7	131.7	NW	6	390 [SW 290]	80 [SW 60]	410

ygsj24

輕度颱風哈隆
編號第 22 號
國際命名 HALONG

現況
2025年10月05日02時
中心位置在北緯 24.9 度，東經 143.5 度
過去移動方向 北北西
過去移動時速 11公里
中心氣壓 998百帕
近中心最大風速每秒 18 公尺
瞬間最大陣風每秒 25 公尺
七級風平均暴風半徑 80 公里
　西北側 90 公里 東北側 90 公里
　西南側 70 公里 東南側 70 公里
十級風平均暴風半徑 - 公里

預測
預測 6 小時平均移向移速為
西 緩慢移動
預測 10月05日08時
中心位置在北緯 24.9 度，東經 143.2 度
中心氣壓998百帕
近中心最大風速每秒 18 公尺
瞬間最大陣風每秒 25 公尺
七級風暴風半徑 80 公里
70%機率半徑 30 公里

預測 6-12 小時平均移向移速為
西 時速 7 公里
預測 10月05日14時
中心位置在北緯 24.9 度，東經 142.8 度
中心氣壓998百帕
近中心最大風速每秒 18 公尺
瞬間最大陣風每秒 25 公尺
七級風暴風半徑 80 公里
70%機率半徑 50 公里

預測 12-18 小時平均移向移速為
西 時速 10 公里
預測 10月05日20時
中心位置在北緯 24.9 度，東經 142.2 度
中心氣壓995百帕
近中心最大風速每秒 20 公尺
瞬間最大陣風每秒 28 公尺
七級風暴風半徑 100 公里
70%機率半徑 70 公里

預測 18-24 小時平均移向移速為
西 時速 13 公里
預測 10月06日02時
中心位置在北緯 24.9 度，東經 141.4 度
中心氣壓988百帕
近中心最大風速每秒 23 公尺
瞬間最大陣風每秒 30 公尺
七級風暴風半徑 120 公里
70%機率半徑 90 公里

預測 24-36 小時平均移向移速為
西 時速 15 公里
預測 10月06日14時
中心位置在北緯 24.8 度，東經 139.6 度
中心氣壓985百帕
近中心最大風速每秒 25 公尺
瞬間最大陣風每秒 33 公尺
七級風暴風半徑 150 公里
70%機率半徑 120 公里

預測 36-48 小時平均移向移速為
西 時速 18 公里
預測 10月07日02時
中心位置在北緯 24.9 度，東經 137.5 度
中心氣壓975百帕
近中心最大風速每秒 30 公尺
瞬間最大陣風每秒 38 公尺
七級風暴風半徑 180 公里
十級風暴風半徑 60 公里
70%機率半徑 170 公里

預測 48-72 小時平均移向移速為
西北西 時速 17 公里
預測 10月08日02時
中心位置在北緯 25.6 度，東經 133.6 度
中心氣壓960百帕
近中心最大風速每秒 38 公尺
瞬間最大陣風每秒 48 公尺
七級風暴風半徑 200 公里
十級風暴風半徑 70 公里
70%機率半徑 210 公里

預測 72-96 小時平均移向移速為
西北西 時速 11 公里
預測 10月09日02時
中心位置在北緯 26.5 度，東經 131.2 度
中心氣壓940百帕
近中心最大風速每秒 45 公尺
瞬間最大陣風每秒 55 公尺
七級風暴風半徑 220 公里
十級風暴風半徑 70 公里
70%機率半徑 330 公里

預測 96-120 小時平均移向移速為
西北西 時速 7 公里
預測 10月10日02時
中心位置在北緯 27.4 度，東經 129.7 度
中心氣壓945百帕
近中心最大風速每秒 43 公尺
瞬間最大陣風每秒 53 公尺
七級風暴風半徑 220 公里
十級風暴風半徑 70 公里
70%機率半徑 530 公里

ygsj24

WTPN32 PGTW 042100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W (TWENTYEIGHT) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W (TWENTYEIGHT) WARNING NR 002   
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   041800Z --- NEAR 24.9N 142.5E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   REPEAT POSIT: 24.9N 142.5E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   050600Z --- 25.0N 141.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   051800Z --- 25.0N 140.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   060600Z --- 25.1N 139.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   061800Z --- 25.3N 137.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   071800Z --- 25.9N 132.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   081800Z --- 27.2N 129.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   091800Z --- 29.2N 128.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
042100Z POSITION NEAR 24.9N 142.3E.
04OCT25. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W (TWENTYEIGHT), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 800 NM EAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 041800Z IS 1002 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z,
050900Z, 051500Z AND 052100Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 27W (MATMO)
WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

---

WTPN32 PGTW 042100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W (HALONG) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W (HALONG) WARNING NR 002   
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   041800Z --- NEAR 24.9N 142.5E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   REPEAT POSIT: 24.9N 142.5E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   050600Z --- 25.0N 141.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   051800Z --- 25.0N 140.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   060600Z --- 25.1N 139.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   061800Z --- 25.3N 137.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   071800Z --- 25.9N 132.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   081800Z --- 27.2N 129.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   091800Z --- 29.2N 128.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
042100Z POSITION NEAR 24.9N 142.3E.
04OCT25. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W (HALONG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
800 NM EAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
041800Z IS 1002 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z
IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z, 050900Z, 051500Z AND
052100Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 27W (MATMO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

ygsj24

WDPN32 PGTW 042100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W (HALONG)
WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.

SUMMARY:
   INITIAL POSITION: 24.9N 142.5E
   INITIAL INTENSITY: 30 KTS
   GEOGRAPHIC REFERENCE: 800 NM EAST OF KADENA AB
   MOVEMENT PAST 6 HOURS: WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KTS
   SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT: 17 FEET

SATELLITE ANALYSIS, INITIAL POSITION AND INTENSITY DISCUSSION:
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS RAPIDLY
CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION, WITH THE BULK OF THE DEEP CONVECTION
DISPLACED EAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 041558Z
AMSR2 37GHZ IMAGE REVEALS SHALLOW CURVED BANDING WRAPPING OVER THE
EASTERN AND NORTHERN QUADRANTS AROUND A WEAKLY-DEFINED LLCC. DEEP
CONVECTION IS CONFINED TO THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE AND IS ASSOCIATED
WITH STRONGLY CONVERGENT SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW. THE INITIAL
POSITION IS PLACED WITH MEDIUM CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE AMSR2 IMAGE.
THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 30 KTS IS ASSESSED WITH MEDIUM CONFIDENCE
BASED ON AGENCY DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T2.0 (30 KNOTS).

INITIAL WIND RADII BASIS: NOT APPLICABLE (THERE ARE NO INITIAL WIND
RADII).

CURRENT STEERING MECHANISM: COMPETING STEERING PATTERN, WITH A
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE WEST AND ANOTHER STR TO THE EAST. A
NARROW, WEAK BREAK IN THE STR IS PRESENT TO THE NORTH.

AGENCY DVORAK AND AUTOMATED FIXES:
   PGTW: T2.0 - 30 KTS
   RJTD: T2.0 - 30 KTS
   KNES: T2.0 - 30 KTS
   CIMSS SATCON: 32 KTS AT 041553Z
   CIMSS ADT: 34 KTS AT 041730Z
   CIMSS AIDT: 35 KTS AT 041730Z
   CIMSS D-MINT: 31 KTS AT 041910Z
   CIMSS D-PRINT: 37 KTS AT 041900Z

FORECASTER ASSESSMENT OF CURRENT ENVIRONMENT: FAVORABLE
   VWS: 10-15 KTS
   SST: 28-29 CELSIUS
   OUTFLOW: STRONG EASTWARD

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE:
   INITIAL POSITION: MEDIUM
   INITIAL INTENSITY: MEDIUM
   INITIAL WIND RADII: NOT APPLICABLE

3. FORECAST REASONING.

SIGNIFICANT FORECAST CHANGES: THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING.

FORECAST DISCUSSION: TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 28W IS FORECAST TO
TRACK SLOWLY WESTWARD THROUGH TAU 24 AS THE STR BUILDS TO THE NORTH.
AFTER TAU 24, A SERIES OF MAJOR SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL PROPAGATE
RAPIDLY THROUGH THE HIGH ZONAL MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES. HOWEVER, THESE
TROUGHS ARE LOCATED WELL NORTH OF 45N LATITUDE AND ARE NOT EXPECTED
TO IMPACT THE STR OR TD 28W'S TRACK. CONSEQUENTLY, THE STR SHOULD
REMAIN ENTRENCHED TO THE NORTH DRIVING TD 28W WESTWARD TO WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH TAU 96. AFTER TAU 96, THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWARD. RAPID INTENSIFICATION (RI) IS HIGHLY
PROBABLE AFTER TAU 24 DUE TO IMPROVING POLEWARD OUTFLOW, ESPECIALLY
AFTER TAU 48 WITH VENTING INTO THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES.      

MODEL DISCUSSION: TRACK CONFIDENCE THROUGH TAU 120 IS LOW DUE TO A
MAJOR BIFURCATION IN THE DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE. AVNI, JGSI AND AEMI
RECURVE THE SYSTEM SHARPLY AND ARE LOCATED ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE
AIDS ENVELOPE. ECMI, EEMI, NVGI, EGRI AND AFUI INDICATE A MORE
WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AND ARE LOCATED ON THE WESTERN
SIDE OF THE AIDS ENVELOPE. THERE IS AN UNUSUALLY LARGE SPREAD IN
DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE, WITH A 486NM CROSS-TRACK SPREAD AT TAU 72,
914NM CROSS-TRACK SPREAD AT TAU 96 AND 1517NM CROSS-TRACK SPREAD AT
TAU 120. THE 041200Z ECMWF ENSEMBLE (EPS) ALSO SHOWS A SIMILAR LARGE
SPREAD REFLECTING THE HIGH DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE JTWC TRACK
FORECAST, WITH THE MAJORITY OF SOLUTIONS EVENTUALLY RECURVING THE
SYSTEM POLEWARD BETWEEN 115-137E LONGITUDE. THUS FAR, THERE HAVE BEEN
ONLY TWO RUNS OF AVNI, AEMI AND JGSI, AND THEY HAVE BEEN EXTREMELY
ERRATIC. ADDITIONALLY, GFS IS DRIVING THE SYSTEM THROUGH THE STR WITH
NO DYNAMIC SHORTWAVE TROUGH PRESENT, WHICH IS UNLIKELY. IN GENERAL,
THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST FAVORS THE ECMWF SOLUTION, WITH A FLATTER
TRACK SUPPORTED BY PERSISTENT RIDGING TO THE NORTH AND A HIGH ZONAL
MIDLATITUDE PATTERN.   

FORECAST CONFIDENCE:
   TRACK 00-72 HR: LOW
   TRACK 72-120 HR: LOW
   INTENSITY 00-72 HR: MEDIUM
   INTENSITY 72-120 HR: MEDIUM//
NNNN

ygsj24

台風第22号(ハーロン)
2025年10月05日06時45分発表

05日06時の実況
種別        台風
大きさ        -
強さ        -
存在地域        父島の南南東約260km
中心位置        北緯25度05分 (25.1度)
東経143度35分 (143.6度)
進行方向、速さ        西 ゆっくり
中心気圧        1002 hPa
中心付近の最大風速        18 m/s (35 kt)
最大瞬間風速        25 m/s (50 kt)
15m/s以上の強風域        北東側 330 km (180 NM)
南西側 220 km (120 NM)

06日06時の予報
種別        台風
強さ        -
存在地域        父島の南南西約290km
予報円の中心        北緯24度50分 (24.8度)
東経140度50分 (140.8度)
進行方向、速さ        西 10 km/h (6 kt)
中心気圧        998 hPa
中心付近の最大風速        20 m/s (40 kt)
最大瞬間風速        30 m/s (60 kt)
予報円の半径        105 km (57 NM)

07日03時の予報
種別        台風
強さ        -
存在地域        日本の南
予報円の中心        北緯25度05分 (25.1度)
東経138度00分 (138.0度)
進行方向、速さ        西 15 km/h (7 kt)
中心気圧        990 hPa
中心付近の最大風速        25 m/s (50 kt)
最大瞬間風速        35 m/s (70 kt)
予報円の半径        185 km (100 NM)

08日03時の予報
種別        台風
強さ        -
存在地域        日本の南
予報円の中心        北緯25度50分 (25.8度)
東経134度00分 (134.0度)
進行方向、速さ        西 15 km/h (9 kt)
中心気圧        980 hPa
中心付近の最大風速        30 m/s (60 kt)
最大瞬間風速        45 m/s (85 kt)
予報円の半径        300 km (160 NM)
暴風警戒域        全域 390 km (210 NM)

09日03時の予報
種別        台風
強さ        強い
存在地域        日本の南
予報円の中心        北緯26度20分 (26.3度)
東経133度10分 (133.2度)
進行方向、速さ        ほとんど停滞
中心気圧        970 hPa
中心付近の最大風速        35 m/s (70 kt)
最大瞬間風速        50 m/s (100 kt)
予報円の半径        370 km (200 NM)
暴風警戒域        全域 480 km (260 NM)

10日03時の予報
種別        台風
強さ        強い
存在地域        日本の南
予報円の中心        北緯26度55分 (26.9度)
東経132度35分 (132.6度)
進行方向、速さ        ほとんど停滞
中心気圧        970 hPa
中心付近の最大風速        35 m/s (70 kt)
最大瞬間風速        50 m/s (100 kt)
予報円の半径        460 km (250 NM)
暴風警戒域        全域 570 km (310 NM)

yhh

ZCZC
TCPQ40 BABJ 042100
CCAA 04210 99398 11165
MATMO 21198 11123 12434 250// 93013
HALONG 22249 11424 123// 225// 93004
NNNN

ZCZC
WTPQ20 BABJ 042100
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TS HALONG 2522 (2522) INITIAL TIME 042100 UTC
00HR 24.9N 142.4E 998HPA 18M/S
30KTS WINDS 200KM NORTHEAST
200KM SOUTHEAST
150KM SOUTHWEST
100KM NORTHWEST
MOVE WSW 7KM/H
P+12HR 24.7N 141.7E 995HPA 20M/S
P+24HR 24.7N 140.8E 990HPA 23M/S
P+36HR 24.8N 139.2E 985HPA 25M/S
P+48HR 25.1N 137.3E 980HPA 30M/S
P+60HR 25.6N 135.2E 970HPA 35M/S
P+72HR 26.7N 133.3E 960HPA 40M/S
P+96HR 28.5N 132.0E 955HPA 42M/S
P+120HR 30.1N 132.2E 955HPA 42M/S=
NNNN