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南半球各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖(2024年7月-2025年6月)

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7067

积分

强台风

Super Typhoon

积分
7067
发表于 2025-3-14 00:20 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 24U
Potential low to develop near eastern NT coast next week.
  • A weak tropical low, 24U, may develop on the trough off the Northern Territory Top End coast by early next week.
  • While the likely scenario is for the system to be too close to land to develop significantly, there is a small window of potential development next Tuesday and Wednesday if the system is over waters of the western Gulf of Carpentaria.
  • The risk of 24U becoming a tropical cyclone increases to Low on Tuesday and Wednesday.
Last updated
8 hours ago, 08:22 am UTC

Tropical Low 25U
Tropical low (25U) to develop over Indian Ocean mid to late next week.
  • A weak tropical low (25U) may develop on the trough in the central Indian Ocean during next week.
  • The risk of 25U becoming a tropical cyclone increases to Low (10%) on Thursday.
  • The low is likely to remain in the middle Indian Ocean, well way from WA mainland coast and to the south of Christmas and Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
Last updated
8 hours ago, 08:08 am UTC


Tropical lowsToday 12:00 am Today  12:00 pm Tomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Sun 16  Mar 12:00 am Sun 16  Mar 12:00 pm Mon 17  Mar 12:00 am Mon 17  Mar 12:00 pm Tue 18  Mar 12:00 am Tue 18  Mar 12:00 pm Wed 19  Mar 12:00 am Wed 19  Mar 12:00 pm Thu 20  Mar 12:00 am Thu 20  Mar 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 24U null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 5 (Low) 1 (Very Low) null (None)
Tropical Low 25U null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low)

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27

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3546

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7067

积分

强台风

Super Typhoon

积分
7067
发表于 2025-3-14 23:15 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 24U
Tropical low, 24U may form near Top End or Gulf of Carpentaria coast next week.
  • A weak tropical low, 24U, may develop along the trough near Top End coast or in the Gulf of Carpentaria early next week.
  • While the likely scenario is for the system to be too close to land to develop significantly, there is a small window of potential development next Tuesday and Wednesday, if the system remains over water.
  • The risk of 24U becoming a tropical cyclone is Low (10%) on Tuesday and Wednesday.
Last updated
7 hours ago, 08:33 am UTC

Tropical Low 25U
Tropical low (25U) may form in the Indian Ocean mid to late next week.
  • The tropics are expected to generally become more active and there is the possibility of several potential lows developing along a trough stretching from the Timor Sea to the west of the region near 90E.
  • One of these lows (25U), may develop south of Indonesia in the central Indian Ocean during next week.
  • The risk of 25U becoming a tropical cyclone increases to Low (10%) on Wednesday.
  • The low may initially develop near Christmas Island but it is likely to move quickly away and remain in the middle of the Indian Ocean, well way from WA mainland coast and to the south of Christmas and Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
Last updated
7 hours ago, 08:39 am UTC



Tropical lowsTomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Sun 16  Mar 12:00 am Sun 16  Mar 12:00 pm Mon 17  Mar 12:00 am Mon 17  Mar 12:00 pm Tue 18  Mar 12:00 am Tue 18  Mar 12:00 pm Wed 19  Mar 12:00 am Wed 19  Mar 12:00 pm Thu 20  Mar 12:00 am Thu 20  Mar 12:00 pm Fri 21  Mar 12:00 am Fri 21  Mar 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 24U null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 5 (Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) null (None) null (None)
Tropical Low 25U null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low)

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27

主题

3546

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7067

积分

强台风

Super Typhoon

积分
7067
发表于 2025-3-15 23:00 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 24U
Tropical low, 24U may form in the Gulf of Carpentaria next week but not expected to develop significantly.
  • A weak tropical low, 24U, may develop along the trough in the Gulf of Carpentaria on Tuesday next week.
  • It is now highly unlikely the potential low will develop significantly, so the risk of this system becoming a tropical cyclone is now Very Low (<5%).
  • Further forecasts for this system will be issued only if the situation changes.
Last updated
7 hours ago, 07:58 am UTC

Tropical Low 25U
Tropical low (25U) may form in the Indian Ocean from early next week with an increasing chance of development later in the week.
  • A weak tropical low (25U), may develop in the Indian Ocean during next week in Cocos Is/Christmas Is region.
  • 25U is likely to move south away from the Islands over open waters of the Indian Ocean and well west of the WA mainland coast.
  • The general environment is conducive for development and hence the risk of 25U becoming a tropical cyclone increases to Low (10%) on Tuesday and Moderate (25%) from Friday.
Last updated
6 hours ago, 08:53 am UTC

Tropical Low 26U
Tropical low 26U to form to the north or northwest of Kimberley next week. Increasing chance of development later in the week.
  • A tropical low (26U) is forecast to form in the trough to the north or northwest of the Kimberley during next week.
  • The likely movement is to the south closer to WA.
  • The environment is generally conducive for development and the risk of 26U becoming a tropical cyclone increases to Low from next Wednesday.
Last updated
6 hours ago, 08:56 am UTC



Tropical lowsTomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Mon 17  Mar 12:00 am Mon 17  Mar 12:00 pm Tue 18  Mar 12:00 am Tue 18  Mar 12:00 pm Wed 19  Mar 12:00 am Wed 19  Mar 12:00 pm Thu 20  Mar 12:00 am Thu 20  Mar 12:00 pm Fri 21  Mar 12:00 am Fri 21  Mar 12:00 pm Sat 22  Mar 12:00 am Sat 22  Mar 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 24U null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None)
Tropical Low 25U null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate)
Tropical Low 26U null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low)

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27

主题

3546

回帖

7067

积分

强台风

Super Typhoon

积分
7067
发表于 2025-3-16 23:15 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 25U
Tropical low (25U) to form in the Indian Ocean and has a Moderate chance of being a tropical cyclone from late Tuesday.
  • A weak tropical low (25U) is forming in the Indian Ocean between Cocos and Christmas Is. This is likely to lead to an increase in showers and storms particularly at Cocos Island from Monday through to about Thursday.
  • 25U is expected to initially move to the west southwest to be south of Cocos Islands then move slowly further away to the south over open waters of the Indian Ocean and well west of the WA mainland coast.
  • There is a period when conditions are favourable for the development from late Monday through to Wednesday. The risk of 25U becoming a tropical cyclone increases to Moderate (25%) from late Tuesday through to Friday then reducing to Low next weekend.
Last updated
6 hours ago, 08:52 am UTC

Tropical Low 26U
Tropical low 26U may form to the north or northwest of Kimberley but is no longer expected to develop significantly .
  • A tropical low (26U) may develop in the trough to the north or northwest of the Kimberley coast early to mid this week.
  • It is now highly unlikely the potential low will develop significantly, so the risk of this system becoming a tropical cyclone is now Very Low (<5%).
  • Further forecasts for this system will be issued only if the situation changes.
Last updated
7 hours ago, 08:34 am UTC



Tropical lowsTomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Tue 18  Mar 12:00 am Tue 18  Mar 12:00 pm Wed 19  Mar 12:00 am Wed 19  Mar 12:00 pm Thu 20  Mar 12:00 am Thu 20  Mar 12:00 pm Fri 21  Mar 12:00 am Fri 21  Mar 12:00 pm Sat 22  Mar 12:00 am Sat 22  Mar 12:00 pm Sun 23  Mar 12:00 am Sun 23  Mar 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 25U null (None) 1 (Very Low) 10 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low)
Tropical Low 26U null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None)

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27

主题

3546

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7067

积分

强台风

Super Typhoon

积分
7067
发表于 2025-3-17 23:00 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 27U
Tropical low (27U) to form northwest of the Pilbara coast later in the week but only a 'low' risk to develop to tropical cyclone at this stage.
  • A weak tropical low, 27U, is forecast to form northwest of the Pilbara later in the week associated with an increase in monsoonal flow to the north.
  • The most likely scenario is for 27U to remain weak and stay north off the Pilbara coast. At this range there is just a small chance of further development and tracking closer to the coast this weekend.
  • The risk of 27U becoming a tropical cyclone increases to Low (10%) from late Friday onwards.
Last updated
6 hours ago, 08:57 am UTC

Tropical lowsTomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Wed 19  Mar 12:00 am Wed 19  Mar 12:00 pm Thu 20  Mar 12:00 am Thu 20  Mar 12:00 pm Fri 21  Mar 12:00 am Fri 21  Mar 12:00 pm Sat 22  Mar 12:00 am Sat 22  Mar 12:00 pm Sun 23  Mar 12:00 am Sun 23  Mar 12:00 pm Mon 24  Mar 12:00 am Mon 24  Mar 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 27U null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low)

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27

主题

3546

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7067

积分

强台风

Super Typhoon

积分
7067
发表于 2025-3-19 23:15 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 27U
Tropical low, 27U may form northwest of the Kimberley or Pilbara coast later in the week.
  • Once 27U develops it has a Low (10%) chance of developing into a tropical cyclone over the weekend, increasing to Moderate by the middle of next week.
  • 27U is likely to remain slow moving and then may take a more southwest track early next week.
  • Longer term movement and development is uncertain at this stage. The more likely scenario is that 27U may remain off the Pilbara coast or move southwest parallel to the coast during next week and could remain a tropical low.
Last updated
7 hours ago, 08:43 am UTC

Tropical lowsTomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Fri 21  Mar 12:00 am Fri 21  Mar 12:00 pm Sat 22  Mar 12:00 am Sat 22  Mar 12:00 pm Sun 23  Mar 12:00 am Sun 23  Mar 12:00 pm Mon 24  Mar 12:00 am Mon 24  Mar 12:00 pm Tue 25  Mar 12:00 am Tue 25  Mar 12:00 pm Wed 26  Mar 12:00 am Wed 26  Mar 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 27U null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate)

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28

主题

3801

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5317

积分

强台风

上海地区气象爱好者

积分
5317
发表于 2025-3-20 21:59 | 显示全部楼层
前景不错哦

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破阵子·五月二十日望洋兴叹
学前聊观数值,全球各洋多旋。去年今日玛娃生,巅峰顶超撼风迷。曾想八六八。
而今极阔西太,惟有云团孱弱。风切遍洋皆死路,黑潮暖水何朝用?静待主风季。

27

主题

3546

回帖

7067

积分

强台风

Super Typhoon

积分
7067
发表于 2025-3-20 23:15 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 27U
Tropical Low 27U increased risk of development early next week north of the Pilbara coast.
  • A tropical low 27U is expected to form well north of the WA coast during the weekend.
  • There is high variation in the location where it may form. The more likely scenario is for development north of the western Pilbara coast. At this stage it is likely to be slow moving initially and then track towards the southwest next week off the Pilbara coast. Development should be gradual, with improving chances by next Tuesday of reaching tropical cyclone strength.
  • Another scenario is formation closer to the Kimberley coast during next week. The movement for such as system is also to the southwest which would bring it closer to the coast.
  • 27U has a Low (5-15%) chance of developing into a tropical cyclone from Sunday, increasing to Moderate (25%) from Tuesday.
Last updated
6 hours ago, 08:44 am UTC

Tropical lowsTomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Sat 22  Mar 12:00 am Sat 22  Mar 12:00 pm Sun 23  Mar 12:00 am Sun 23  Mar 12:00 pm Mon 24  Mar 12:00 am Mon 24  Mar 12:00 pm Tue 25  Mar 12:00 am Tue 25  Mar 12:00 pm Wed 26  Mar 12:00 am Wed 26  Mar 12:00 pm Thu 27  Mar 12:00 am Thu 27  Mar 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 27U null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 30 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate) 40 (Moderate)

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27

主题

3546

回帖

7067

积分

强台风

Super Typhoon

积分
7067
发表于 2025-3-21 23:00 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 27U
Tropical low 27U to form on the weekend but more likely to remain well off the Pilbara coast as it develops early next week.
  • A tropical low 27U is expected to form well north of the WA coast during the weekend.
  • While there is some variation in how quickly 27U might develop, the more likely scenario at this stage is for gradual development with improving chances to reach tropical cyclone strength by next Tuesday and Wednesday.
  • 27U is likely to be slow moving to the south initially then track towards the southwest with increasing confidence to remain off the northwest Pilbara coast.
  • 27U has a Low (10-15%) chance of developing into a tropical cyclone from Sunday, increasing to Moderate (25%) from Tuesday.
Last updated
6 hours ago, 08:39 am UTC

Tropical lowsTomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Sun 23  Mar 12:00 am Sun 23  Mar 12:00 pm Mon 24  Mar 12:00 am Mon 24  Mar 12:00 pm Tue 25  Mar 12:00 am Tue 25  Mar 12:00 pm Wed 26  Mar 12:00 am Wed 26  Mar 12:00 pm Thu 27  Mar 12:00 am Thu 27  Mar 12:00 pm Fri 28  Mar 12:00 am Fri 28  Mar 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 27U null (None) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 30 (Moderate) 40 (Moderate) 45 (Moderate) 45 (Moderate) 40 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate)

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27

主题

3546

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7067

积分

强台风

Super Typhoon

积分
7067
发表于 2025-3-26 23:15 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 28U
Tropical low, 28U may form off the northwest Kimberley coast and move over the coast by the weekend.
  • Tropical low, 28U may form within the monsoon trough northwest of the Kimberley coast overnight tonight or Thursday morning.
  • 28U is forecast to move towards the Kimberley coast on Thursday and Friday, before taking a track to the south later Friday and crossing the coast during the weekend.
  • The system may strengthen over the next few days with a Moderate risk on Friday and Saturday that it may develop into a tropical cyclone.
  • By Sunday, 28U is likely to be overland, reducing the risk of being a tropical cyclone.
  • Enhanced thunderstorm activity and heavy rainfall may occur over the north Kimberley associated with the monsoon flow regardless of the development of 28U.
Last updated
6 hours ago, 08:44 am UTC

Tropical lowsTomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Fri 28  Mar 12:00 am Fri 28  Mar 12:00 pm Sat 29  Mar 12:00 am Sat 29  Mar 12:00 pm Sun 30  Mar 12:00 am Sun 30  Mar 12:00 pm Mon 31  Mar 12:00 am Mon 31  Mar 12:00 pm Tue 1  Apr 12:00 am Tue 1  Apr 12:00 pm Wed 2  Apr 12:00 am Wed 2  Apr 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 28U 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 15 (Low) 35 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate) 15 (Low) 5 (Low) 1 (Very Low) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None)

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