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TY_Board论坛»论坛 › 台风特区 TY_Section › 台风预报 TY_Chat › 科科斯群岛以东28U(90S) - 11.7S 99.7E
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科科斯群岛以东28U(90S) - 11.7S 99.7E

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yhh

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论坛版主-副热带高压

最后这一页 就让它无言

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55571
发表于 2026-2-27 21:01 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
本帖最后由 yhh 于 2026-2-27 21:30 编辑

90S INVEST 260227 1200 11.7S 99.7E SHEM 15 0
90S INVEST 260227 1200 11.7S 99.7E SHEM 20 1004

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参与人数 1金钱 +3 威望 +3 收起 理由
理可的呆萌呆毛 + 3 + 3 90S

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当漪涟 消散 万千 不见
永恒和瞬间都 被爱意成全
我的明天叫做昨天 Hoo~
要相信 浪漫 一如 初见
请笑着 向我 道别
最后这一页 就让它无言
我会在扉页 等待你续写 起点
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pocketbox

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超强台风

Super Typhoon

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15316
发表于 2026-2-28 17:50 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 28U
A tropical low, 28U, to form to the west of Christmas Island.
  • A tropical low, 28U, to form in the trough to the west of Christmas Island, in the next day or so.
  • During Monday to Thursday, the low is likely to move over waters near to, or south of, Christmas Island.
  • 28U has a Low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone from Monday, increasing to Moderate from Wednesday.
  • Residents of the Christmas Island should stay up to date with the latest forecasts.
Last updated
2 hours ago, 08:14 am UTC

Tropical lowsToday 12:00 pm Tomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Mon 2  Mar 12:00 am Mon 2  Mar 12:00 pm Tue 3  Mar 12:00 am Tue 3  Mar 12:00 pm Wed 4  Mar 12:00 am Wed 4  Mar 12:00 pm Thu 5  Mar 12:00 am Thu 5  Mar 12:00 pm Fri 6  Mar 12:00 am Fri 6  Mar 12:00 pm Sat 7  Mar 12:00 am Sat 7  Mar 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 28U null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 15 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 5 (Low) 1 (Very Low)

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pocketbox

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超强台风

Super Typhoon

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15316
发表于 2026-3-1 17:35 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 28U
Moderate risk of 28U developing into a tropical cyclone from Wednesday.
  • A tropical low, 28U, has formed west of Christmas Island.
  • The low is expected to slowly track east, south of Christmas Island, before it's motion is affected by 30U later in the week and it takes a more southeasterly track.
  • 28U has a Low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone from Monday, increasing to Moderate from Wednesday.
  • Residents of the Christmas Island should stay up to date with the latest forecasts.
Last updated
an hour ago, 08:20 am UTC

Tropical lowsToday 12:00 pm Tomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Tue 3  Mar 12:00 am Tue 3  Mar 12:00 pm Wed 4  Mar 12:00 am Wed 4  Mar 12:00 pm Thu 5  Mar 12:00 am Thu 5  Mar 12:00 pm Fri 6  Mar 12:00 am Fri 6  Mar 12:00 pm Sat 7  Mar 12:00 am Sat 7  Mar 12:00 pm Sun 8  Mar 12:00 am Sun 8  Mar 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 28U 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 10 (Low) 1 (Very Low) null (None)

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pocketbox

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超强台风

Super Typhoon

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15316
发表于 2026-3-2 17:49 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 28U
Moderate risk of 28U developing into a tropical cyclone from Wednesday.
  • Tropical low 28U lies to the southwest of Christmas Island is expected to track eastwards throughout the first part of the week, passing to the south of Christmas Island overnight tonight.
  • 28U has a Low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone from later Tuesday, increasing to Moderate later Wednesday and on Thursday.
  • Later in the week, 28U will be affected by the development and motion of tropical low 30U, and is expected to start weakening as it moves to the southeast from Thursday onwards.
  • It is expected to dissipate by the weekend and not impact the WA coast.
Last updated
an hour ago, 08:51 am UTC

Tropical lowsToday 12:00 pm Tomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Wed 4  Mar 12:00 am Wed 4  Mar 12:00 pm Thu 5  Mar 12:00 am Thu 5  Mar 12:00 pm Fri 6  Mar 12:00 am Fri 6  Mar 12:00 pm Sat 7  Mar 12:00 am Sat 7  Mar 12:00 pm Sun 8  Mar 12:00 am Sun 8  Mar 12:00 pm Mon 9  Mar 12:00 am Mon 9  Mar 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 28U 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 15 (Low) 5 (Low) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None)

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Ragasa

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强热带风暴

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1422
发表于 2026-3-3 04:00 | 显示全部楼层

ABIO10 PGTW 021800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
OCEAN/021800Z-031800ZMAR2026//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
16.5S 122.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.6S 122.4E, APPROXIMATELY 25 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BROOME. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS
REVEALS A BROAD DISORGANIZED REGION OF TROFING ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
COAST OF AUSTRALIA. ANALYSIS OF SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM BROOME
SUGGEST THE TROF AXIS, OR POTENTIAL DEVELOPING ROTATION, PASSED NORTH
OF THE STATION AT APPROXIMATELY 1200Z AND HAS NOW MOVED OVER WATER.
DISORGANIZED CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP ALONG THE NORTHERN
PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATELY
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20
TO 30KTS), VERY WARM NEARBY SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30 TO 31 C), AND
MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS
PREDICT GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT AS IT TRANSITS WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48-72
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 11.0S
105.5E, APPROXIMATELY 32 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND.
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A COMPACT LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION COVERED BY FLARING CONVECTION. A 021041Z WSF-M 37GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALED A COMPACT INNER-CORE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP,
WITH WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL BANDING FEATURES STARTING TO WRAP INTO THE
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS
MODERATELY FAVORABLE CONDITION FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (28 TO 29 C) AND MODERATE SOUTH WESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW, CONTRASTED BY VERY HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (30 TO 40KTS).
HOWEVER, THE CIMSS SHEAR ANALYSIS MAY BE TOO HIGH, BASED ON THE OVERALL
STRUCTURAL APPEARANCE IN THE EIR IMAGERY. GLOBAL MODELS SHOW
INTENSIFICATION OF 90S IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS, ENSEMBLE MODELS ALSO SHOW
THE STEADY DEVELOPMENT AND EAST TRACK OF 90S OVER THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN

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