Tropical Low 08U
Tropical low (08U) forming well off the northwest Kimberley coast with moderate tropical cyclone risk from Monday next week.
A tropical low (08U) is forming within the monsoon trough located well off the northwest Kimberley coast.
The system should move slowly south initially and then take a southeast or east track from Monday towards the west Kimberley coast.
Environmental conditions are moderately favourable for development but latest guidance varies greatly. Most do not indicate significant development but sufficient do intensify the system. Weakening is more likely from Wednesday as dry air and increasing wind shear affect the system even before the system reaches the coast.
The tropical cyclone ratings increase to Low from Saturday and then Moderate Monday and remain so through to Wednesday.
Residents near the Kimberley coast and east Pilbara coasts should monitor forecast updates over the coming days.