墨西哥东南94E - 10.1N 86.6W - NHC:10%

933954

EP, 94, 2025061412,   , BEST,   0, 101N,  866W,  20, 1009, DB

---

1. Offshore of Central America and Southeastern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, has
formed just off the Pacific coast of Costa Rica and is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of the low, and a tropical
depression could form by the middle of next week while moving
westward or west-northwestward just offshore the coasts of El
Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

大水台6

印象里有AI模型报过有TC会在这里生成然后铲进墨西哥湾重生，不知道是不是这个

ygsj24

985
ABPZ20 KNHC 141702
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Jun 14 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Dalila, located in the eastern Pacific basin off the coast of
southwestern Mexico.

Offshore of Central America and Southeastern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is
located just off the Pacific coast of Costa Rica and is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of the low, and a tropical
depression could form by the middle of next week while moving
westward or west-northwestward just offshore the coasts of El
Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg/Gibbs

红豆棒冰冰

稍早前ASCAT风场扫描

ygsj24

511
ABPZ20 KNHC 142329
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Jun 14 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Dalila, located in the eastern Pacific basin off the coast of
southwestern Mexico.

Offshore of Central America and Southeastern Mexico (EP94):
A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is
located offshore of the Pacific coast of Costa Rica and is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of the low, and a tropical
depression could form by the middle of next week while moving
westward to west-northwestward just offshore of the coasts of El
Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sat Jun 14 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Dalila, located in the eastern Pacific basin off the coast of
southwestern Mexico.

1. Offshore of Central America and Southeastern Mexico (EP94):
Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate multiple surface
circulations associated with a tropical wave located offshore of the
Pacific coast of Costa Rica.  The system continues to produce
disorganized showers and thunderstorms along the coasts of El
Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica and adjacent offshore
waters.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of the low, and a tropical depression could form by the
middle of next week while moving westward to west-northwestward just
offshore of the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.


Forecaster Roberts

红豆棒冰冰

今天上午ASCAT风场扫描